Kevin Gordon
Kevin Gordon is the Head of Macro Research and Strategy for the Schwab Center for Financial Research. He oversees macroeconomic research and works closely with the company's asset class strategists, researchers, and trading team to generate insights on the economy and markets for clients. In addition to providing analysis on global macro developments, he helps develop deep-dive projects as well as content for Schwab's public website, internal business partners, and social media outlets.
US
What's new
The market's rebound from the April lows has had a speculative, risky leadership profile—but broader participation suggests the bull can keep running for now.
US
What's new
Earnings results are shaping up to be quite solid this season, albeit a bit weaker relative to prior quarters when it comes to beat rates and price reactions.
US
What's new
Inflation's trend has been favorable this year, but a growing conflict in Iran—combined with already-imposed tariffs—might put upward pressure in prices later this year.
What's new
Market Outlook
US
We believe the macro environment will continue to be unstable given policy crosscurrents and a wobbly labor market, but stocks can likely churn higher given a firmer earnings backdrop.
US
What's new
There is still a wide divergence between hard and soft data, and a recovery in the latter is likely to be weak absent a meaningful reduction in policy uncertainty.
US
What's new
The April plunge in stocks ushered in a huge washout in investor sentiment, but more so on the attitudinal side as opposed to the behavioral side.
What's new
Markets and Economy
Recession risk remains elevated, likely only receding with a fuller "pivot" in tariff-related uncertainty. While every recession is unique, history can provide a guide.
US
What's new
Markets have had a wild ride these past couple of weeks, alongside chaotic tariff-related news, with volatility (and its policy triggers) most elevated in the bond market.
What's new
Markets and Economy
Our point of view on recent market and economic activity.
US
What's new
Amid a market correction and heightened policy, inflation and growth concerns, valuations are back in the spotlight.
US
What's new
Recession fears have risen sharply of late as economic soft data have rolled over, upping the risk that hard data start to catch down.
US
What's new
Heightened economic uncertainty—propelled mainly by trade policy—has unearthed weakness in the equity market, with most pain felt under the market's surface.