The S&P 500® sits near record highs, but weak market breadth, sticky inflation, and rising yields suggest a more complicated story beneath the surface.
Fed policymakers unanimously voted to raise rates 25 basis points, the first hike since 2023, and vowed to fight inflation. Another hike is seen this year, but 2027 is in question.
European equities may have support from global growth, improving fundamentals, lower relative valuations, and fiscal spending—plus diversification from the AI cycle.
History suggests slower Fed tightening tends to support stronger market returns and firmer economic growth, while faster hikes typically deepen drawdowns.
Find Market Commentary content
What Record Highs Might Be Hiding
Fed Hikes: What's Next for Treasury Yields?
Schwab Market Perspective
What's Behind the Fed's Rate Hike?
Fed Hikes in 12-0 Vote, Commits to Inflation Fight
Do Munis Still Deserve a Place in Your Portfolio?
European Stocks: Reasons to Reconsider
The Housing Market's Demographic Reckoning (With Ivy Zelman)
Take a Hike: Rate Hikes and Market Impacts