The Fed is seen cutting rates by 25 basis points today. Focus then turns to Powell's thoughts, the dot plot of rate projections, and any dissents. Oracle reports after the close.
The Federal Reserve lowered its policy interest rate by 25 basis points, as widely expected. However, Fed Chairman Powell hinted at a pause ahead, and there were several dissents.
Futures trading shows 90% odds of a Fed rate cut tomorrow. Yields rose again Monday, a possible headwind for stocks, while job openings data arrive after the open today.
We believe the macro environment will continue to be unstable given policy crosscurrents and a wobbly labor market, but stocks can likely churn higher given a firmer earnings backdrop.
International stocks could be poised for another strong year in 2026 due to accelerating global growth, attractive valuations and the potential for dollar weakness.
The latest perspective on the bond market from the Schwab Center for Financial Research, including a deep-dive on corporate and municipal bond markets.
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