A look back at the impacts of tariff announcements last quarter, and what we might expect from tariff negotiations during the 90-day implementation delay in Q2.
Recession risk remains elevated, likely only receding with a fuller "pivot" in tariff-related uncertainty. While every recession is unique, history can provide a guide.
Historically the United States dollar strengthens when U.S. Treasury yields rise. But the reverse happened in April after the White House announced widespread tariffs.
Find Market Commentary content
Why International and Why Now
Why Are Munis Attractive Right Now?
Hate It or Love It: Sentiment's Message
Should the Fed Focus on Inflation or Unemployment?
Tariffs: Q1 Impacts and Q2 Negotiations
Is Confidence Eroding in U.S. Investability? (With Dario Perkins)
Dominoes: Recessions' History Guide
Why Is the U.S. Dollar Declining?
The State of Rates and the Bond Market During Uncertainty