Kevin Gordon
Kevin Gordon is a Director and Senior Investment Strategist and is the research associate for Schwab's Chief Investment Strategist Liz Ann Sonders. In addition to analyzing the U.S. economy and stock market for Schwab's clients, he helps develop deep-dive projects as well as content for Schwab's public website, internal business partners, and social media outlets.
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What's new
Inflation's trend has been favorable this year, but a growing conflict in Iran—combined with already-imposed tariffs—might put upward pressure in prices later this year.
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There is still a wide divergence between hard and soft data, and a recovery in the latter is likely to be weak absent a meaningful reduction in policy uncertainty.
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What's new
The April plunge in stocks ushered in a huge washout in investor sentiment, but more so on the attitudinal side as opposed to the behavioral side.
What's new
Markets and Economy
Recession risk remains elevated, likely only receding with a fuller "pivot" in tariff-related uncertainty. While every recession is unique, history can provide a guide.
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What's new
Markets have had a wild ride these past couple of weeks, alongside chaotic tariff-related news, with volatility (and its policy triggers) most elevated in the bond market.
What's new
Markets and Economy
Tariff policy has clouded expectations for the second half of the year, but there are ways to navigate through the fog.
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What's new
Amid a market correction and heightened policy, inflation and growth concerns, valuations are back in the spotlight.
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Recession fears have risen sharply of late as economic soft data have rolled over, upping the risk that hard data start to catch down.
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Heightened economic uncertainty—propelled mainly by trade policy—has unearthed weakness in the equity market, with most pain felt under the market's surface.
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What's new
Growth and value are often thought of simplistically, but subsurface details in growth- and value-labeled indexes challenge pre-conceived notions of the factors.
The Trump Administration's plans to put tariffs on imports from Canada, Mexico, and China have the potential to dent economic growth, boost inflation, and raise uncertainty.
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What's new
Some soft data metrics have started to rebound sharply and catch back up to relatively resilient hard data, but it's too soon to say whether the gap is definitively closing.